This off-season has certainly been one of the more intriguing to say the least. In a time of economic turmoil where everyone has had to tighten their spending it seemed natural that there would be a market correction on the sky-rocketing contracts for players, but did anyone expect this? Aside from the yankees spending spree, most teams have been astonishingly quiet on the free agent front, pleading poverty and suddenly unwilling to dole out the dough at even somewhat reasonable levels. Indeed, some players and I for one am starting to wonder whether the economic downturn is really precluding owners to spend on players, or are they merely using it as an excuse to bring down prices more to their liking? It is hard to say not knowing the intimate financial information for the 30 baseball owners, but I think they are using the economy to deprive some players from getting at least a fair market value.
Among the position players the player who seems to be getting squeezed the most is Adam Dunn. While he is not the most popular player in some circles because of his low batting average and high strikeout totals the guy produces runs, end of story. Five years of hitting 40 home runs in a row after hitting 46 the year before, the 29 year old slugger has a lifetime on base percentage of .381 and a slugging of .518. Yes he can be infuriating to watch at times because he's always going up there to hit a home run, but he is a patient hitter produces a great deal of runs, whether that be driving them in, hitting in at least 90 every year or runs scored which he does plenty of because he's on base so much. And yet he's unsigned and by many accounts looking at a one year deal, but why? Consider that Jose Guillen and his .264/.300/.438 line got 3 years 36 million last year, is there anyone that thinks Guillen is a better player than Dunn? How can he not be able to get at least that deal? For certain, a player of his caliber deserves better.
Consider also Bobby Abreu. While his power has dwained from years past Bobby has proved to be a valuable hitter in his time with the phillies and yankees, driving in 100 runs seven times in a row, stealing at least 20 bases, all while posting a career line of .300/.405/.498, not bad for a 35 year old. He's a guy who does everything well (with the exception of his sometimes timourous fielding) still at an age where a long term deal from a team is usually not outlandish, and yet he also is looking at the prospect of a one year deal. Indeed, the Yankees shocked most by not offering arbitration to Bobby but its looking like he won't get anywhere near the 16 million he got last year, but why?
Again, I don't know how these owners are doing financially, maybe they are really strapped for cash and are bearing down across the board, but I don't buy it. Baseball is making more money than it ever has, whether that be in ticket sales which are at an all-time high or lucractive tv deals, including the new MLB network (which rocks by the way) the cash is coming in like never before, but where is it going? Times like these require everyone to be more fiscially prudent and in truth the contracts were getting out of control, but when quality proven all-stars like these two men can't get a multi-year deal from anyone, you have to wonder if something is very wrong.
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About me
Just an out of work lawyer looking for work and spending the rest of my time reading, writing and taking everything I can in about the game I love, baseball.
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Some Key Terms to Know When Reading
I throw around a lot of numbers and stats so I figured I should probably explain some of them:
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
WAR - Wins Above Replacement, as its name suggests, provides an exact number of wins a particular player is worth above what your average AAA player, or replacement player would provide in his absence. Although this is a very difficult stat to explain (I don't totally get it personally) the stat is beautifully simple in that it provides a precise value of either a pitcher or hitter to his particular team, which enables teams to monetize their worth and properly assign a dollar value.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
About Me
- burnsie77
- Morristown, NJ, United States
- I write and read everything I can about baseball and have some thoughts about it.
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- Tek gets his multi-year deal
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- Yeah, Heilman, he's um, good
- What the hell do I know...
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- That Torre, what a nice guy
- The best young team on the rise is...the Rangers?
- I guess Howard needs to be able to buy more cheest...
- One's team trash is another's treasure
- It seems the Manny act doesn't wow 'em like it use...
- Andy Pettitte and Steinbrenner's war over six million
- Andruw Jones reportedly released by Dodgers, LA ar...
- Baseball, baseball, everywhere
- So why exactly isn't Ben Sheets signed yet?
- Tell me this isn't a little weird looking
- It's on a Month Away.....
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- Money well spent?
- Four years for a 36 year old pitcher, this should ...
- An Ode to A Noble Game
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Blog Archive
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2009
(123)
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January
(20)
- Tek gets his multi-year deal
- Billionaires are pleading poverty...right
- Yeah, Heilman, he's um, good
- What the hell do I know...
- Jim Edmonds? Seriously?
- That Torre, what a nice guy
- The best young team on the rise is...the Rangers?
- I guess Howard needs to be able to buy more cheest...
- One's team trash is another's treasure
- It seems the Manny act doesn't wow 'em like it use...
- Andy Pettitte and Steinbrenner's war over six million
- Andruw Jones reportedly released by Dodgers, LA ar...
- Baseball, baseball, everywhere
- So why exactly isn't Ben Sheets signed yet?
- Tell me this isn't a little weird looking
- It's on a Month Away.....
- You don't have Pat the Bat to kick around no more...
- Money well spent?
- Four years for a 36 year old pitcher, this should ...
- An Ode to A Noble Game
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January
(20)
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