Probably one of the biggest surprises thus far is the Dodger's utter dominance early on this season, perticularly at home where they have tied the record for home wins to start as season 12, tied with the 1911 Detroit Tigers. Indeed, a lot of the pundits were high on the Dodgers after Manny signed with the team, but with so many pitching woes thus far its a bit remarkable that they have done as well as they have.
If you were to look at the pitching lines of some of the dodgers staff for the last month you'd be hard pressed to believe that they are the team to beat. With Kiroda down for a few months the staff has been shaky at best, relying on james mcdonald sporting a 8.16ERA and never lasting more than 5 innings, a feat he accomplished only once. After him it doesn't get a whole lot better, with the much ballyhooed Clayton Kershaw who has been dazzling at times, striking out 13 in seven innings agains the giants, but has been spotty, lasting less than five innings three times already and with a none too impressive 5.46ERA otherwise. Eric Stults has similiarly been unreliable, averaging barely 5 innings with an ERA of 5 as well. Now you take all of that, three of your five starters giving you less than five innings a game, and those innings being some pretty shitty innings, how are they possibly so good?
I don't have an answer for the question entirely but it seems the rest of the dodger team is playing at a very high level, with Torre getting spectacular performances from Orlando Hudson, who's smacking the ball with a line .311/.411/526, an improved Matt kemp hitting of .289/.369/.515 which has his on base and slugging going up considerable, and Andre Ethier smacking the ball at .327/.439/.574 coupled with manny's typically spectacular .348/.491/.641. Wow just collecting those stats is starting to make the reason for their success very clear, they're just obliterating the ball i mean to have all of those guys in the same lineup hitting at such a high level thats insane, wow. Add in some stellar bullpen performances despite Torre's best efforts you've got a team that despite some serious pitching fallings are off too an insanely hot start.
All this said, I don't buy this team being as good as they're playing. Sure they're not a bad team and judging how the rest of this division has been looking, perticularly my sleeper the Diamondbacks who have looked very bad so far, they could win the division going away. But when it comes to face the rest of the league and possibly in all of the majors they're going to have problems. If 3/5 of your staff is consistently sucking when its their turn to go, and the other side of your staff is injury prone and mediocre Randy Wolf and "due for a sophmore slump" Chad Billingsley (he's awesome but not as your most reliable starter, not yet at least) you're asking for trouble. Sure they're offense has been spectacular but can they honestly expect to keep this up all year? Hardly, such a performance would be record setting. As I am apt to say time will tell on this one, they've clearly got talent, but they need a whole lot more from their starting pitching to reasonably expect to compete come October.
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Just an out of work lawyer looking for work and spending the rest of my time reading, writing and taking everything I can in about the game I love, baseball.
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Some Key Terms to Know When Reading
I throw around a lot of numbers and stats so I figured I should probably explain some of them:
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
WAR - Wins Above Replacement, as its name suggests, provides an exact number of wins a particular player is worth above what your average AAA player, or replacement player would provide in his absence. Although this is a very difficult stat to explain (I don't totally get it personally) the stat is beautifully simple in that it provides a precise value of either a pitcher or hitter to his particular team, which enables teams to monetize their worth and properly assign a dollar value.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
About Me
- burnsie77
- Morristown, NJ, United States
- I write and read everything I can about baseball and have some thoughts about it.
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- Manny in the All-Star Game, You've Got to Be Kidding
- The Rangers should be very happy to have Derek Hol...
- Too Much, Too Soon
- Uhh Nevermind
- Peavy to be traded to the other Chicago team, prob...
- The Blue Jays are In First, but are they REALLY th...
- A Couple of Leftys Pitching Like its 2003
- Sweep or not, the Twins are Solid
- What a difference a week makes
- World Series Games to Start Before 8pm, can we get...
- How the Mighty Have Fallen
- The Enigma of Micah Ownings
- Dude, Give it Up
- A Great Stadium for A Shitty Team
- Manny the Newest Member of the PED Club
- Sidd Finch Come to Life, or Is he?
- I'll be one of the lucky few to sit among empty se...
- Meanwhile, things are rosy for Torre's Dodgers in ...
- The Red Sox are in A Class By Themselves
- Cherry Picking Stats works both ways
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Blog Archive
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2009
(123)
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May
(20)
- Manny in the All-Star Game, You've Got to Be Kidding
- The Rangers should be very happy to have Derek Hol...
- Too Much, Too Soon
- Uhh Nevermind
- Peavy to be traded to the other Chicago team, prob...
- The Blue Jays are In First, but are they REALLY th...
- A Couple of Leftys Pitching Like its 2003
- Sweep or not, the Twins are Solid
- What a difference a week makes
- World Series Games to Start Before 8pm, can we get...
- How the Mighty Have Fallen
- The Enigma of Micah Ownings
- Dude, Give it Up
- A Great Stadium for A Shitty Team
- Manny the Newest Member of the PED Club
- Sidd Finch Come to Life, or Is he?
- I'll be one of the lucky few to sit among empty se...
- Meanwhile, things are rosy for Torre's Dodgers in ...
- The Red Sox are in A Class By Themselves
- Cherry Picking Stats works both ways
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May
(20)
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