In today’s post-steroid era of baseball, defense and speed have dominated the headlines and highlight reels of mainstream sports media. Thanks to the more rigorous testing where true home run hitters are harder to come by, teams are forced to find value in other ways, and as result the new wave of stars have been young, fast, and great with the glove. Jason Bartlett, Grady Sizemore, Yadier Molina, and countless others are lauded for their defensive prowess and their ability to make the slick play all over the diamond. All over the diamond, it seems, except for first base. Long considered a position where you throw a big lumbering guy who can’t do much, first base defense has been consistently overlooked in favor of the big bat, and in this way the Yankees for the last seven years have been no different. Signing the former MVP Jason Giambi because of his ability to hit it out of the park and sort of forgetting the fact he’s horrible in the field, the Yankees chose to forsake infield defense for the last seven years and in the process hurt themselves. But by signing the uber-talented glove man Mark Teixeira in the off season, the Yankees have reversed the fortunes at the plate and in the field, transforming the position from one of weakness to a strength that has helped them in more ways that can be measured.
As I mentioned earlier, the Yankees signed Jason Giambi in 2002 for his offense and in this way, at least for awhile he did not disappoint. Blessed with a great eye and prodigious power, Giambi slugged his way to a 1.034OPS in his first full season and for the length of his contract consistently had an on-base percentage over .400 and slugged over .500, but he was not without his faults. Aside from the steroid thing, which we won’t get into here, Giambi just flat out killed the Yankees with his porous defense. Posting fielding percentages consistently in .980s, numbers bad enough in themselves, but the more advanced fielding metrics are even more telling to just how bad he truly was. Giambi’s RngR or Range Runs above average showed a clear lack of fluidity and range at the bag, putting up some pretty poor numbers like –1.5, -2.1, -2.8 and –6.0, only to improve to –4.9 in his final year shows Giambi as a clearly below average defensive first baseman (note: negative figures indicate below league average performance). Ultimate Zone Rating is equally as unkind to the Giambino, generating some poor ratings in the –2.1, -4.8 and –7.1 range. Indeed, it seems the subjective and unpleasant experience of watching Jason bumble around the field fleshes out to be true in the numbers, and these numbers as a consequence hurt the rest of his teammates.
For sure, when you have such a below average first baseman like Jason Giambi, his inability will only make his other infielders look worse and the numbers seem to show this to be true as well. Take for instance, Derek Jeter, a shortstop who admittedly was not a great defensive player before, with Giambi, his weaknesses seemed to only be amplified. Unfortunately, Ultimate Zone ratings prior to 2002 are unavailable, but in the data available it seems clear that as Giambi’s glove work worsened so did Jeter’s going from a not great –0.3 to an absolutely horrendous –12.6, and –16.7 as Giambi’s tenure went on. Now of course, Giambi cannot be completely blamed for Jeter’s woes, after all he is a not a great defensive shortstop who seemed to be declining with age, but as Teixeira’s short tenure has shown, a great first baseman can make up for some of those problems with superior range and compensate for the bad throw at times. This is a skill that Giambi clearly did not possess.
Moving forward to the 2008 off-season, Giambi’s option is not picked up and in his place the Yankees sign two-time Gold Glover Mark Teixeira signs a jaw-dropping $180 million dollar deal, and his impact is sudden and immediate. After enduring years of Giambi’s corpse-like average range of 7.8, Teixeira’s superior range, now standing at 9.0 for the season (a number that is actually down from last year’s 10.1) has indeed been a breath of fresh air for the rest of the Yankee infielders and it’s easy to see why. For one, Teixeria has started at first 87 times already this year, a feat Jason only accomplished twice as a Yankee and when he’s in there Teixeria’s Zone Rating has been a respectable –1.7, a number Giambi never touched. For certain, as anyone can see watching him, the impact of Teixeria’s presence has been undeniable, picking it left and right, making acrobatic dives and throws look easy, and in the process helping guys all over the diamond, particularly the aforementioned Derek Jeter who’s having the defensive season of his life. Posting a career high 1.8 UZR and an even more impressive 4.5UZR per 150 games, Jeter’s numbers have seen a huge, huge spike and he’s not alone. Second baseman Robinson Cano has seen his UZR improve from –8.0 to 0.7 as well and his RngR go from –5.4 to –1.2. And this is all in a season where Teixeira is actually is a little bit down from his previous season where he averaged closer to 10 in range factor and 5 UZR! Imagine once Mark really hits his stride again defensively, then you really have to watch out.
Again, this is only a half season’s worth of statistics and some credit has to be given to the other defenders for their improvement, but the change seems plain in the results on the field. From being a below average defensive team, the Yankees have established themselves as a good team with the glove, setting a new record for consecutive games without an error and elevating themselves from the basement to the middle of the pack in this category. Don’t get me wrong, they’re not going to challenge the Rays or the Pirates, who have the highest rated defensive team yet, but the change is unmistakable. The team has become more balanced and efficient in the way they play the game and the change, along with the other off-season acquisitions have put them back atop the AL East. They say one player can’t change a team, but at least in matters of
I'm sure many of you who read the fine website deadspin have seen this picture, but if you haven't we have here yet another example of FOX's rampant douchebaggery. If you saw the game last night I'm sure you noticed this creep in the stands who they just happen to show fairly frequently, but he is not just any person. No, in fact this was not just some weird fan but a man, no a video of a man who's an actor in the new FOX series "The Observer." They showed this weird bald dude as sort a perverse in-game advertisement for their new show, which I'm sure sucks, and this is just deplorable. Like their incessant advertising isn't bad enough, the powers that be have decided to bombard us fans with their recent crap they're hucking during the freaking game.
Now look I understand they have to make advertising money and they have all sorts of ways of doing that, but this is just too much. They less see this as a baseball game and jus another tool to force people to hear about their other crap whether they like it or not. What's worse is that this is not the first time, evidently this dude has shown up in all sorts of events like American Idol and football games for the last year. This sort of stuff needs to stop immediately. The network has systematically ruined big baseball games for years and there's unfortunately there is no end in sight. I'll stop now because I'm just repeating myself, but the fact remains, its just not good baseball.
Well it seems as though the Jays early season surge was in fact an illusion and Blue Jays are left in a familiar position, fourth place in the AL East looking up at the three best teams in the Junior Circuit (arguably). For sure, after early promise this was not the position Toronto's managment was expecting to be, but at the halfway points its become more clear that this team just won't cut it, they're just not as deep not as talented as the Rays, Sox, and Yankees and something must be done. That something to be done seems to be more dramatic than many expected when Toronto GM JP Riccardi announced he's shopping arguably the best pitcher in baseball, Roy Halladay, but is it for the best? Sure Halladay should command a decent haul, but will they be able to get anywhere near the value he brings or will be it pennies on the dollar? It's a question that cannot be answered yet but if played deftly by Riccardi dealing Halladay might be the smartest thing the Blue Jays have done in years.
Of course when dealing a player of Halladay brings a great deal of risk, after all prospects are no sure bet and even the best ones can flame out, but for the Jays its an opportunity that could pay off big. Consider the Mark Texiera trade, who also had one and a half year left on his contract like Halladay. Traded to the talent rich Altanta Braves, the Braves sent over SS Elvis Andrus, RHP Neftali Perez, LHP Matt Harrison, LHP Beau Jones, and C Jarrod Saltamacchia and its plain to see since then the Rangers have vastly improved for the long term since then. Andrus, now with the major league club has become a conerstone of the Rangers' defense and a surpsing amount of offense, Neftali Perez, now the highest rated pitching prospect in all the land, Saltamacchia has emerged as a productive hitter behind the plate and Matt Harrison who addmittedly has had his bumps in the road, is still only 23 and could soon emerge as a valuable member of the rotation, not a bad huh? Now of course its no guarantee as of yet but such a haul of prospects can literally turn around an organization just as it did with the Rangers. Long a basement dweller for years, Texas has vaunted itself into contention in the AL west a mere two years later and look poised to be a major player for years to come, why not give that a try? Sure its no sure bet, but it seems clear that attempting to compete fielding this team is sure to fall short again.
Of course there are a great deal of people who would be more than happy but where is the best fit is the real question. I think that of course the Red Sox and Yankees have to be involved to raise the stakes, as they both obviously have the money and actually both have the prospects, but I think if they can avoid dealing within the division they should. The Phillies have been prominently mentioned and they too would also be a good fit, big market, money to spend, lots of talented prospects and he's moving to the National League where he'll probably be never hit again so that works for him. They haven't been mentioned but the Dodgers have the money and the pieces to get him and they could desperately need him. They've obviously done well so far, but their starting pitching has been so-so at best, not going deep enough into games and forcing a lot of pressure on their bullpen, adding a guy who averages 230 innings will only make them that much more dangerous.
Its hard selling a fanbase on something like getting rid of your best player for some kids, but its something the Jays just need to do right now. A team that not that long ago was the toast of the town and a prennial winner has become a doormat to the yanks, sox and now even the rays. Thier current half-assed attempt to stay competitve by sort of spending money and sort of developing needs to stop, just accept that its going to be another couple of years of sucking, something they've done already and regroup, get younger and build a new core of talented young guys who can win for years. Its a hard sell, but its a whole lot harder than selling the good people of Toronto on third and fourth place finishes year in and year out.
Okay, to call Sanchez a middling reliever is not really fair, but if you were to look at what the young talented Jonathan Sanchez has accomplished thus far this year, Sanchez would hardly be among the top three guys you'd think of when you hear "San Francisco Giants Pitcher Throws No-No." Indeed, as a team with immensely talented pitching spearheaded by arguably the best pitcher in the world, Tim Lincecum, the Giants have been foridible to say the least. With Lincecum and Matt Cain off to the All-Star Game, a future first ball hall of famer in Randy Johnson, a pitcher whos being paid over 100 million as their fourth best starter at best (Zito kind of sucks, but you could do worse as a four starter) the Giants are the enby of the rest of the league for their prodigious pitching. Well it seems that pitching has gotten even more impressive as Jonathan Sanchez, whom wasn't even in the rotation due to ineffetiveness, came in against the Padres and three the gem of his life, nine innings, eleven strikeouts, and no hits. Add all of these elements together and despite the fact they have practically have no offense, the Giants seem suddenly more dangerous than ever, posied atop the wild card race and intent on staying there.
Thanks to the good graces of MLB Network (Great Network, or The Greatest Network?) I was able to watch a great deal of this game and what a performance it was indeed. As mentioned above, Sanchez wasn't even supposed to be starting that night or any night, but thanks to a bad back for Barry Zito, and its not hard to see why. Through 69 innings Sanchez had an ERA over five walking a pretty atrocious 45 over that span and gettting hit around even worse than Barry Zito. Relegated to the pen Sanchez showed flashes of what he finally got to together that fateful friday night and what a flash it was. Featuring a high 90s heater and a wicked slider, Sanchez, only 25 has been around and hasn't gotten it together, but at least for one night he was unbelievable. Pumping fastballs and nasty breaking stuff by the hapless Padres, it seemed clear early on these guys didn't stand a chance. Of course this is the padres we're talking about so they're not exactly murders row, but its hard to say that anyone would have a chance against him that night.
it will be interesting to see where Sanchez's career goes from here. A guy with all the talent in the world who could be as great as he wants to be can go many directions from here. Indeed, while many great pitchers have no-hitters to their resume, there are many many other pitchers who have thrown no-hitters who went on to do nothing, and that game being a blip on the radar on an otherwise unimpressive career. If you dont believe me, go to si.com and see the gallery of pitchers who threw no hitters for their teams, I'm a baseball nut and I didnt know a whole lot of them. Hopefully for the Giants and Sanchez that was only a signal of things to come because the guy is as talented as any pitcher out there, you get him pitching at a level similar to that of Cain and Lincecum, watch out, because theres a triumvirate to rival maddox, glavine and smoltz, at least talent-wise. Whether that dream will come to fruition is something only time will tell, but at least for this night the Giants showed just how deep they are in their staff, and are a team to be recokened with come October.
If one is unsure of how talented a GM Minaya is all they need to do is look at their current incarnation and see how hopeless they really are. Beset with a multitude of injuries that no one would have expected is bad enough, but not having a single impact player in the system who could at least provide league average production is completely unacceptable. I mean for christ's sake their leadoff guy has been Alex Cora, a guy whos OPS hasnt even been close to league average since 2004, and that's the guy they give the most at-bats to! You're telling me there isn't one guy in their farm system who can give you something at least close to average? Indeed, as far as I'm concerned this is indicitive of piss poor management of an organization, a total lack of depth in the farm to supplement the major league team. And I don't even mean someone who's going to carry the team or anything like that, just someone who isn't an automatic out or a starter who you're confident can at least keep you competitive in the game, can you name one? No its hard to because instead this very promising season has turned into a blooper roll and Minaya only has himself to blame.
If you remember when Minaya came in several years ago, the guy was all about change, shaking things up and making them a contender right now, and he did but a very costly price. Trading for guys like Carlos Delgado, Johan Santana, investing big money into Pedro Martinez and Carlos Beltran make big headlines but they came at the cost of overall organizational health. For sure, the team won early on, coming within one curveball from being in the world series in 2006, but it came at a terrible price, the price of their long term health. Prospects like Matt Lindstrom and Mike Jacobs, or even more talented draft picks like Clay Bucholz who the sox got for Pedro, talented young players who could have provided cheap and consistent production for several years were shipped off for the quick strike for older and experienced players. And sure, most of those guys did compete for a time, but as this season has shown the bad thing about veterans is that they get hurt a lot, and its easy to see why. I mean as your body gets older it doesn't recover as quickly and more prone to injuries and these last few months for the mets have shown that to be true. Depend on older players, especially in the post-PED era and you're going to hurt. Despite this very clear trend, Omar has stubbornly continued that way and look where its gotten them.
Whats more is Omar's seeming inability to improve his ballclub throughout the year. While other contenders recognize their vunerabilities and make moves to fill their holes at the deadline, Omar has been consistently immoible come the end of July, and the results are pretty clear. Two epic late season collapses and now a team with no offense to speak of and the best he can do is trade a valuable outfielder for a guy who's career OPS+ is 90, that doesn't sound like improvement to me. Now I'm not saying Omar should make moves for the sake of making moves, but certainly there's something he could have done in the past few years that could make a difference while not killing the team, right? Nope instead Omar stood pat and got passed by.
I'm not saying everything Omar has done is bad, and in truth some of his failures were caused by problems that he can't be blamed for (injuries etc etc) but for me the mark of a good organization is having the pieces to move to be able to deal with problems. Take the Red Sox, they lose Dice-K for most of the year, are they worried? Hardly, they signed Smoltz and Penny and have a pleathora of arms who can fill that hole. Boston like many other teams are prepared for the worst case senario and smart enough to know how to make your team better like Cashman trading for Bobby Abreu a few years back. Of course they both have the financial means to do that, but so do the Mets and why not use it wisely, for something that's pretty imprortant? No he hasn't and for that if Omar's still the General Manager of the Mets next year I feel very very badly for a team that seems to get nothing going there way, and this is not helping it.
This has been something that has been stuck in my craw for a few months now and I've grown very weary of what I consider cookie cutter journalism covering the phenom that is Steven Strasburg. He hasnt signed yet and hopefully will but the hype has been unreal in the last few months and for good reason. Unbelivable strikeout numbers like 23 in one game, a minscule ERA and WHIP all seemingly out of nowhere, undrafted out of high school, the hyperboles from scouts everywhere have been abound. Greatest pitching prospect I've ever seen best arm ever and so on and so forth which indeed can be tiring in itself but it is even moreso when coupled with an even more irritating story in my mind, that he's bound to be a bust. Okay maybe most don't say it out loud and put it more elloquently than that, but the jist of it is that he'll never be good, and why? Look to history they say, look at the abundance of busts who were considered the next great thing, guys who seemingly looked unstoppable when they were drafted wilted under the pressure and were garbage, wastes of vast sums of money, the lot of them, but is that entirely fair? Sure there has been a lot of guys who haven't lived up to the contract who haven't been as advertised, but does that necessarily mean that they won't be good? Take Lebron James, no one was more hyped than him, I mean the guy was on the cover of Sports Illustrated as a freaking high school junior, he turned out pretty good didn't he? Who knows, maybe I'm just being kind of crabby and I just read too much sports writing, after all there are only so many angles a writer can take there's only so many things someone can say about a topic, but at least I feel like the overwhelming majority of it seems to have the same overarching message that he's done before he's started and why do that? Sure, a lot of former pitching phenoms that were supposed to be great turned out as being busts, but there are plenty who've been very successful, josh beckett and kevin brown to name a few (i realize they aren't the best examples but very good pitchers) what about them? My point is that all these "busts" are individual cases, guys like Brien Taylor or Todd Van Poppel failed for a bunch of reasons with no real correlation, the only thing tying them together is that they happened to be the bee's kneees of that years draft. I mean shit Brien Taylor broke his hand in a fight and was never the same, what are the odds of that happening? I say let's abstain from judgment until he actually does something, the guys got all the tools to be great for many years, let him and his actions decide whether he's great and not recent history.
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OKC's Sam Presti is an overrated draft savant8 months ago
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Some Key Terms to Know When Reading
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
About Me
- burnsie77
- Morristown, NJ, United States
- I write and read everything I can about baseball and have some thoughts about it.
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- Teixiera's Glove
- FOX sucks part two
- You've Got to Be Kidding Me Fox
- Pedro To The Phillies, Does it Matter?
- Some Thoughts On The Home Run Derby
- Jays Looking To Deal Halladay
- Quitting Time
- Giants' Middle Reliever Throws No-No
- Would You Trust Your Team To This Man?
- Former "The Natural" Impersonator Traded, Minaya c...
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2009
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July
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- Teixiera's Glove
- FOX sucks part two
- You've Got to Be Kidding Me Fox
- Pedro To The Phillies, Does it Matter?
- Some Thoughts On The Home Run Derby
- Jays Looking To Deal Halladay
- Quitting Time
- Giants' Middle Reliever Throws No-No
- Would You Trust Your Team To This Man?
- Former "The Natural" Impersonator Traded, Minaya c...
- Strasberg's a bust, didn't you hear?
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