Okay okay lame headline, but if you're a met fan its really not to far from the truth. Indeed, the last two years have been excruciating for the Mets fans to say the least, wrought with two consecutive September collapses, fans are looking for SOMETHING to be happy about. Well they didn't exactly light the world on fire this off-season, a lot of very valuable free agents were there for the taking and for the most part the Mets did not bite, GM Omar Minaya addressed the most glaring weakness and made it a strength.
If you want to make any Met fan wince in pain just mention the names Heilman and Schoenwies and they'll be in tears in seconds. Okay, maybe not but these two and many others in that disaster of a bullpen really ripped the heart right out the Mets and into second place pretty quick. Indeed, especially in the second half the Mets bullpen was to put it bluntly, absolute shit. Consider of the six relievers Jerry Manuel has called upon most frequently, five have second-half ERAs above 4.90: Ayala (5.54, including his Washington stint), Pedro Feliciano (6.38), Aaron Heilman (6.75), Duaner Sanchez (6.00), and Joe Smith (4.91); Scott Schoeneweis (4.50) is the exception. When Schoeneweis is the leader in the clubhouse with a 4.5 era you've got some serious problems.
So Omar said you want a bullpen, I'll give you one, signing the single season saves leader K-Rod and then subsequently trading for the stellar JJ Putz to set up. While K-Rod had a record breaking year his numbers last year were a down year in stats that matter, namely strikeouts per nine innings walks and WHIP, but when you consider who he's replacing, well he's not too bad. In addition Putz is brought in to set up for him and you could argue he's better than K-Rod posting more impressive stuf and the control to back it up. In this regard I give the mets very high marks, you could argue that this was what kept them from winning the division and they went out and made their bullpen an asset.
However while this was a big problem this was not the only problem of the Mets. Indeed, while their roster is quite star-studded they also have a great deal of lineup spots that are pretty much automatic outs (I'm looking at you Luis Castillo and Brian Schneider). Especially in a National League lineup where you have the pitcher hitting if you have two or three guys out there that you have no faith in to be productive you're going to be exposed, which is what happened. In addition, the Mets got no real production from the corner outfield positions, two spots that are usually very productive, getting virtually nothing from Ryan Church after his two concussions and not much at all from Fernando Tatis, Trot Nixon, and pretty much any other replacement-level player they threw out there. While there's a lot to like in David Murphy and you can hope that Church comes back thats a lot of if's and when there are proven guys like Bobby Abreu, Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey, Garrett Anderson and a host of other solid corner outfielders available for very cheap you have to wonder why they didn't improve themselves.
I'll give the Mets a B/B+ but it could have been a solid A had they just got a decent bat in that lineup to compliment Wright, Reyes and Beltran. They're solid players for sure, some of the leagues best but that's not a team and unless some guys step it up or have some serious bounce-back years I dont see this team being actually better than the Phillies. While their starting pitching is strong and the bullpen is looking real solid, you'd have to be pretty foolish to think that judging from last year that this lineup is as good as the Phils. Time will tell on that and stranger things have happened, but its going to be a fight to the end with the Phillies.
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About me
Just an out of work lawyer looking for work and spending the rest of my time reading, writing and taking everything I can in about the game I love, baseball.
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Some Key Terms to Know When Reading
I throw around a lot of numbers and stats so I figured I should probably explain some of them:
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
WAR - Wins Above Replacement, as its name suggests, provides an exact number of wins a particular player is worth above what your average AAA player, or replacement player would provide in his absence. Although this is a very difficult stat to explain (I don't totally get it personally) the stat is beautifully simple in that it provides a precise value of either a pitcher or hitter to his particular team, which enables teams to monetize their worth and properly assign a dollar value.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
About Me
- burnsie77
- Morristown, NJ, United States
- I write and read everything I can about baseball and have some thoughts about it.
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March
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- For all the talk of change, Padres looking remarka...
- "Rocktober" Seems a Looooong Time Ago
- The San Francisco Giants hoping to win a lot of 1-...
- For the Dodgers, its a few steps foward and a few ...
- Curt Schilling, Douchebag? Yes. Hall of Famer? Yes.
- The Cubs Hoping Not to Blow it Again this year
- The Only Baseball Video Game You Need
- I am very glad this guy isn't a yankee anymore
- Astros poised to be even shittier than last year
- Injuries, injuries, everywhere
- After Pujols, many questions remain for Cardinals
- After magical season, brewers at crossroads
- Hope for the future in Cincinnati
- Miracle on the Diamond
- The reason for my vanishing
- Just when you thought it couldnt be worse for A-Rod
- The Pittsburgh Pirates, Rebuilding their Rebuildin...
- The Days of the Big Three Seem A Long Time Ago
- The Marlins, doing what they always do
- The Mets looking to be Amazin' or at least Acceptable
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