It's really not fair to compare this incarnation of the Braves to the heyday of the three headed monster of Maddox, Smoltz, and Glavine in the 1990s, but its hard not to. A decade plus of excellence and domination seems but a distant memory to Braves fans so management has tried to do something about it. Indeed, making one of the bigger splashes of the off-season with Derek Lowe and Javy Vazquez but one look at their lineup and its clear these Braves are not ready for the big time.
With Smoltz and Hudson found to be unreliable Atlanta needed a replacement for both and they went out and did that with the big trade for Vazquez and the Lowe signing with some moderate success. For sure, while perhaps not being the flashiest or wow me type of pitchers, these two have been the model of health and consistency for years, Lowe giving 30 plus starts for seven years and Vazquez pitching at least 198 innings for nine, it doesnt get much more reliable than that. These guys along with Jair Juirgens who won 14 games as a rookie and Japanese import Kenshin Kawakami they are poised to have one of the more durable and dependable staffs in the division and indeed the league.
But where the problems arise is the rather punchless lineup. Sure Chipper Jones at the tender age of 37 had another great year leading the league in batting average on on base percentage, and Brian McCann is arguably the best hitting catcher in the National League but after that it gets dicey. Indeed, the whole Braves outfield last year hit 27 home runs, 27! You've got to be kidding me! Former "The Natural" Jeff Francoeur hit only 11 and the rest didn't fare well either. To make matters worse they traded Mark Texiera and replaced him with Casey Kotchman, a solid player who proceded to do jack shit when he came to Atlanta hitting two measly home runs with the club. While its true they added Garrett Anderson to the mix, a good veteran hitter from the left side, he hasn't proved to be durable not even playing 80 games in the field and hasn't seen a pitch he doesn't like, with a career OBP under .350. This, my friends, is not a recipe for a winning ball club.
I give the Braves a B- for their offseason, addressing their pitching needs very astutely but not bringing enough to the table at the plate. The addition of Anderson is a smart and cost effective one, but its not enough to make this team any more than a fourth place team in a very competitve division. Of course as the saying goes pitching and defense wins championships and they have a durable staff and a top flight defensive squad to back it up its going to be hard for them to muster the runs to back these guys up. They're on their way and the Braves are absolutely loaded with talent on their farm that will be making an appearance real soon (remember the name Tommy Hanson) but not now, not yet.
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About me
Just an out of work lawyer looking for work and spending the rest of my time reading, writing and taking everything I can in about the game I love, baseball.
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Some Key Terms to Know When Reading
I throw around a lot of numbers and stats so I figured I should probably explain some of them:
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
wOBA - a new one I'll be using, short for weighted on-base average is essentially an improvement on OPS. Scaled to average OBP (with .330 the league average) wOBA more properly weighs on-base percentage higher than slugging percentage and more accurately weighs extra base hits (a double isn't worth double of that of a single which is what SLG does) to give a better picture of a batter's worth.
.000/.000/.000 is the industry shorthand for the split stats for batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order, these are some of the more commonly used stats to indicate how productive a hitter is.
OPS - shorthand for On-Base Percentage Plus Slugging is becoming more in vogue in the mainstream media to get a better idea of the raw production of a hitter, instead of saying how often they get a hit OPS shows how productive those hits are.
BABIP - Batting Average on Balls in play, its pretty much what it says, how often that a batter puts in ball in play that it becomes a hit, its a stat that shows if a hitter is just having a lot of bad luck or a hot streak is just fluky. For instance a BABIP of .200 is considered unlucky its not that he's not hitting, he just isn't hitting where the fielders are not there.
OPS+ - as the name implies, OPS+ is OPS but with adjustments to park effects and other outliers to normalize the data. Indeed, as most people know some parks are harder to hit at than others, which this stat compensates for, 100 being the baseline of league average
WAR - Wins Above Replacement, as its name suggests, provides an exact number of wins a particular player is worth above what your average AAA player, or replacement player would provide in his absence. Although this is a very difficult stat to explain (I don't totally get it personally) the stat is beautifully simple in that it provides a precise value of either a pitcher or hitter to his particular team, which enables teams to monetize their worth and properly assign a dollar value.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
ERA+ - similar to OPS+ its a more highly sophisticated way of evaluating a pitcher's performance adjusted for park effects, this also is on a numerical basis with 100 as league average.
FIP - short for fielding independent pitching, FIP measures the only aspects of the game that a pitcher has total control over, strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Scaled to ERA, FIP gives a truer indication of a pitcher's true talent by removing the luck apparent with balls in play.
WHIP - Walks and Hits per innings pitched, a little more well known stat, but a good indicator of how effective a pitcher is. Chances are if a guy is walking a lot of guys and giving up a hot of hits, he's not pitching all that well.
xFIP- a variation of FIP which normalizes home run rates as a way to discount aberrational home run rates that are either too high or too low to reasonably sustain.
UZR- Short of Ultimate Zone Rating, this is the number of runs above or below average a fielder is in both range runs and error runs combined. This is a difficult stat to understand because it's not one of those stats you can figure out at home, because it includes a bevy of factors including park effects and speed. As a consequence, its not a perfect stat, but its the best defensive stat we have. Also seen as UZR/150 is the Ultimate Zone rating per 150 games.
RngR - Range Runs is defined as the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, determined by how the fielder is able to get to balls hit in his vicinity. Also not a perfect fielding stat, but one of the many fielding stats that help as as fans get a fuller picture of a player's defensive prowess.
About Me
- burnsie77
- Morristown, NJ, United States
- I write and read everything I can about baseball and have some thoughts about it.
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2009
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March
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- For all the talk of change, Padres looking remarka...
- "Rocktober" Seems a Looooong Time Ago
- The San Francisco Giants hoping to win a lot of 1-...
- For the Dodgers, its a few steps foward and a few ...
- Curt Schilling, Douchebag? Yes. Hall of Famer? Yes.
- The Cubs Hoping Not to Blow it Again this year
- The Only Baseball Video Game You Need
- I am very glad this guy isn't a yankee anymore
- Astros poised to be even shittier than last year
- Injuries, injuries, everywhere
- After Pujols, many questions remain for Cardinals
- After magical season, brewers at crossroads
- Hope for the future in Cincinnati
- Miracle on the Diamond
- The reason for my vanishing
- Just when you thought it couldnt be worse for A-Rod
- The Pittsburgh Pirates, Rebuilding their Rebuildin...
- The Days of the Big Three Seem A Long Time Ago
- The Marlins, doing what they always do
- The Mets looking to be Amazin' or at least Acceptable
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