New York Nine

Baseball the way it was meant to be, down and dirty with brutally honest analysis


From the world champion we go to the dregs of the division, a team that really does nothing perticularly well, the Washington Nationals. They've been a prenninal doormat, whether that be in Montreal or now in DC and while they have made some decent moves to improve themselves, I think you'd be hard pressed to say this is a team on the rise.


Arguably their most important move of the off-season was acquiring the profilic slugger Adam Dunn. Providing a great deal of pop and plate disicipline, putting Dunn at 1st base makes them instantly a better team, but not enough to make a difference. Pretty much everywhere else around the diamond they're full of guys who are pretty much non-factors at the plate like Austin Kearns Felipe Lopez and pretty much anyone they're trotting out there.


The nats also made a moderate splash acquiring Scott Olsen and Josh Willingham from the Marlins for next to nothing. Olsen, a left hander coming off his first 200 inning season will certainly be useful in that he's durable, but aside from that he's average at best. 2008 saw his fastball diminish markedly and as he is a year older I don't see it getting any better. As for Willingham, he's a nice player, a corner outfielder with some pop, but unfortunately thats't the one thing the Nats have plenty of, his presence only further augments the logjam in the outfield.


The Nats made some other moves such as signing Daniel Cabrera which would pay dividends if the tall and talented young right hander ever gets his act together, but really I equate their moves to painting a dilapidated house, yeah sure its got some new paint, but the house is still shit and bound to collapse at a moment's notice. While I commend them for having the saavy to sign Dunn at a very reasonable price this is still a team with a whole lot of work to do and years away from contention. Instead of investing in a guy like Dunn they should be investing in player development and scouting, where money goes a long way to create a culture of winning and fostering cheap homegrown talent. The Nats get a B because they improved themselves without giving up a whole lot but improving yourself isn't hard to do when you're godawful.


Well you've been waiting for it and here it my take on every team's offseason. I'm sure you've all been losing a lot of sleep over when this would come out, but you're prayers are answered. Okay seriously, I know everyone's doing this 30 teams in 30 days things so honestly how many can you actually read or watch, so I'm going to keep them short to give you an idea where everyone stands, at least in my humble opinion. A quick summary of any major moves or losses and a standard letter grade, we'll start with the team at the top The Philadelphia Phillies and the NL East.
As they very impressively showed this past October the Phillies are a well rounded team that is deep in talent in almost every regard. From its star-studded infield to their superb bullpen and stellar front line of starting pitchers of Cole Hamels and Brett Myers, its a team that is not lacking in talent. But as the last decade as showed us it is not easy to repeat for even the deepest team and I think its fair to say the Phils are not as complete as they were on that fateful day in October.
The most glaring area of concern is the loss of Pat Burrell and the addition of Raul Ibanez. Signed for a 3 year 31 million dollar deal the Phils really overshot the market and grossly overpaid for a guy that isn't nearly as valuable as the guy he's replacing. He's 37 to Pat's 32, a left handed hitter, something they already have too much of, and he's not nearly as a prolific power hitter as pat the bat is. Still worse, they didn't offer arbitration to Burrell so they lost a draft pick for that and then they signed Ibanez and lost a draft pick for him! Indeed, paying for an extra year for a guy who's considerably older with at best similar prowess with the bat is a curious move.
In addition the Phillies lost JC Romero for 50 games to a banned susbtance which is also a considerable blow. While he is going to be back as this postseason showed he is vitally important to the success of that team and the bullpen, tossing 59 innings striking out 52 for a pretty tidy 2.75 ERA. While its nothing earth shattering, his absence for nearly half of the season will hurt them.
In sum, while they made a pretty dubious move in Ibanez, this team is still young talented and only getting better. Hamels as he showed in the posteason seems ready to take off and become a prennial cy-young candidate and with 3 MVP candidates in the infield they're not lacking pop. That said they didn't do much to really improve themselves so I find it very hard to believe they'll be hositing another trophy this year. I'm projecting they'll be in line with about how many games they won last year and be in contention for the playoffs
Grade B


Well its been four years, so its time for the second go-around of the Selig-creation, the World Baseball Classic to ruin the season a few more players. Now don't get me wrong as a baseball fan, the concept of the WBC is an awesome one, I mean in March you get real competitive baseball, featuring players all across the globe that can make some new stars like Dice-K last time as well as some magic moments. What's not to like right? Unfortunately what may sound good in practice does not always translate to success. Indeed, while it is a lot of fun to see, having major league players and more precisely pitchers add an additional month of high pressure pitching is highly detrimental to their well being for the entirely of the season as well as long term.


Now you may say well these guys are pitching now anways, they're starting spring training already, and games start today, these guys are just getting their work in in a different uniform.
It's true that these guys are in games down in Florida and Arizona, but if anyone has seen a spring training game you know that this is not exactly the same level of intensity as a playoff or even a regular season game. Starting position players play maybe half of the game and call it a day and the pitchers hardly even go that far. Furthermore, while they are batting to live batters, most of these guys aren't pitching like its an actual game, they're down there to work out and fine tune their stuff which is exactly what they're doing. maybe a guy with four pitches will throw exclusively two pitches just to get down his mechanics or delivery ready for the regular season. Especially against major league hitters this can result in the pitcher getting knocked around, but thats not the point, the point is to be prepared for the games that matter.


Now compare that to pitching in the WBC, where you're in a playoff bracket where second chances are few and far in between and the pressure is high. Instead of working out the kinks and getting ready for the real season these guys are skipping that step and jumping into high leverage situations immediately forcing them to throw their full repritore of pitches to get guys out. Now when you consider how fragile pitchers are these days and how few guys even get to the plateau of 200 innings anymore, don't you think throwing another 25 innings or so for an extra month under those circumstances could possibly do more harm than help?


Of course you could argue well that's just your amateur opinion, how can you justify that it really makes a difference? Well look at the table below that I borrowed from the Bleacher Report, a comparison of the ERA + of pitchers who competing in the WBC last time around. For those who aren't familiar with the nerdy stat ERA + it takes into account park effects and the league average ERA to give you a more precise idea of how good a pitcher is with 100 being league average and the higher the better.


2005/2006 Change
Roger Clemens: 226 193 -33
Chad Cordero: 224 134 -90
Brian Fuentes: 164 142 -22
Todd Jones: 190 116 -74
Brad Lidge: 184 84 -100
Gary Majewski: 139 95 -44
Joe Nathan: 165 283 +118
Jake Peavy: 134 99 -35
Scot Shields: 154 159 +5
Huston Street: 253 134 -119
Mike Timlin: 202 109 -93
Dan Wheeler: 191 176 -15
Dontrelle Willis: 151 112 -39
Totals: 2377 1836 -541
Avg/Pitcher: 182.9 141.2 -41.7
W/O Nathan: 184.3 129.4 -54.9


With the very strong exception of Joe Nathan pretty much everyone across the board had an off year from the year before the WBC and its pretty hard to deny.


Furthermore, it seems the players themselves have taken notice and are staying away in droves, enough to compile a few all-star teams worth of guys from Johan Santana, CC Sabbathia, Albert Pujols, Mariano Rivera to name just a few. Indeed, these players and many others appeared to have taken notice and don't want to jeopardize their real jobs for this exhibition of sorts.

As a baseball fan I love the idea of a world cup of baseball, but not at the price of the major league season. While its a great thing in theory its current execution is flawed at best and shows a real lack of understanding of how demanding the game of baseball is on these player's bodies. Hey what's another month of baseball right? It may not be football or hockey, but the long season of baseball, especially when you factor in another month of playoffs is a very long and tiring thing, hard enough to endure without any additional burdens. Don't tell me I didn't warn you when you draft Jake Peavy, Roy Oswalt and the rest of these guys for fantasy baseball and they have off years.

Monday, February 23, 2009

Dodgers get a steal on the O-dog


In our continuing series of "I can't believe he only got that!" in the 2008-9 offseason our newest episode stars Orlando Hudson and how the Dodgers were able to get him for next to nothing on a one year deal that features up to 4.6million in incentives. While LA does lose a first round pick for signing Hudson considering the skills Hudson brings to the field and with his bat I think its fair to say that they have dramatically improved themselves while giving up very little.
Easily the biggest improvement for the Dodgers by signing Hudson is defensively. Between using Blake DeWitt, a career third baseman and Jeff Kent, a great second baseman who's not exactly great in the field, the dodgers were pretty poor up the middle. Replace that combination with a three time gold glover who's still in his prime and I can see Los Angeles becoming a much stronger team defensively.
But Hudson is also very underrated with the bat as well. While not a great offensive player he has been productive and at times a serious contributor to a club, notably last year posting a very respectable .305/.367/.450 line. Compare that to DeWitt's pretty anemic .264/.344/.383 line you have to think Torre will be happy to take that black hole out of the lineup everyday.
I really think its hard to say anything negative about this deal. Yes the Dodgers lose a first round pick to their division rival, but they also made them weaker in the short term and improved themselves greatly for next to nothing. Its amazing to think that the market has taken such a dramatic downturn when you look back at last years deals for second baseman, namely the absolutely horrible Luis Castillo, gets four years and all he did this year was slug a muscular .305 and this year Hudson can't even get two years!
Speaking of the Mets, I'm taking them to task for nothing pulling the trigger on Hudson, a guy who really really would have helped them fill one of their more glaring holes in their lineup. Yes, Castillo and his albatross of a contract are still there but if you're a team like the mets with the financial means you have to make this move. A guy like Castillo is going to kill you at the plate, and this is not going to change now that he's a year older and a step slower on those balky knees of his. A well rounded guy like this wouldve drastically changed the fortunes of those mets, but I guess this deal was too smart for them.

Friday, February 20, 2009

Curious move for a rebuilding team


Not too much going on in the contract front with spring training starting and games only a few days away, but it seems the dregs of the AL East the Baltimore O's signed one of their few all-stars to a long term deal, and I can't help to wonder why they did it. Roberts, 32 is certainly deserving of some recompense for his work on this crappy team the last few years, being one of the few shining stars there these days, but he's on the wrong side of 30 and for a team that is really years from competing it doesn't make sense.
As I said Roberts has given the O's a great deal of value with his bat, especially from second base, giving them speed and power giving them a .296/.378/.450 line with 40 stolen bases, not bad numbers at all and certainly deserving of his all star nomination this past year, his second for his career. But giving a 31 year old second baseman a 4 year 40 million dollar deal is indeed curious when you look at the rest of the team. While the team is emerging with a great deal of young talent, whether that be the ultra-talented outfield of adam jones, nick markakis and felix pie, or the up and coming matt weiters, the stud catching prospect who is expecting to be up sometime this season, its no where near ready to compete. Aside from former Indian castoff Jeremy Guthrie they have very little starting pitching, and their bullpen is equally unimpressive. Indeed, if this last postseason showed us anything pitching wins championships and Baltimore just isn't there yet.
In my opinon, they were much better served trading the guy for prospects and continuing building. While he is one of the few name guys on that team, someone you can put on your billboards, thats not really going to help their long term success. Yes he's a valuable player, but premium offense at second base is a luxury, good pitching is not. If you can improve yourself where it matters, namely pitching depth, you have to do it, and Baltimore really missed the boat here. He'll probably help them sell a few more seats and win a game or two more but its not really going to matter, they're still going to be looking up at the bottom of the AL this year and for years to come, and a move like this is not going to change that.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

The Natural Returns Home

It's been rumored for weeks and months but it seems as though the man with the sweetest swing on baseball, Ken Griffey Junior is returning to Seattle according to reports by ESPN and I couldn't be happier for the fans of Seattle. Now I've never ventured out there, but you have to feel for Seattle, they lose their basketball team, the Seahawks, the perennial champion of the NFC West goes to shit within weeks this season, and the Mariners become the first team with a 100 million dollar payroll to finish under .500. Damn, that's pretty shitty, I feel kind of bad complaining about my Giants losing in the first round after winning the superbowl last year.


But now the last remant of greatness of those awesome Seattle teams is coming back to town. Yes he's a bit older, the hop in his step is gone and he's not quite the MVP caliber player he once was, but its still Griffey, one of the few great clean stars we have left anymore (at least as far as we know). And in truth his numbers suggest that he's clearly not the same guy he once was, posting a pretty pedestrian .249/.353/.424 line last year while with cincinatti and chicago, but the move is more than just production. Its something for these fans to hold onto, a reason to go to the game and see the legend in action, older and slower for sure, but still capable of showing you a flash of that greatness of his. But this move is not entirely a nostalgia move as I think he still has a little in the tank and can be useful when used properly by seattle, providing some well needed power in an otherwise mostly punchless lineup.


This move hardly makes Seattle contenders and indeed they have a lot of work to do before that happens again, but after all the bad moves they've done, letting griffey and a-rod go, trading randy johnson and pretty much dismantling those great teams of the 90s and doing nothing right since then, its nice to see them throw the fans a bone. they deserve something these days.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Pirates making strides to not suck so much

More than any team out there in the past decades, the Pittsburgh Pirates have prided themselves on being the worst of the worst in baseball. Okay, well maybe not outwardly, but since their days of Barry Bonds, there hasn't been a whole lot to be happy about for Pirates fans with 16 seasons of losing consecutively, tied for the record of all time, and chances are they're going to break it this year. However, since the hiring of Neal Huntington, formerly working with MLB there seems to be an attempt to field a competitive team in the future and I'm happy to see it.


Although you may have missed it the Pirates signed their All-Star, Gold-Glove center fielder Nat McLouth to a 3 year 15.75 million dollar deal with a 2012 team option. McLouth isn't exactly a household name, and his fielding metrics say he wasn't exactly deserving of a gold glove, but he clearly had an impressive breakout year and the Pirates responded in kind. At 27 McLouth posted a very respectable .276/.356/.497 line for the year after an incredible start to the year and the Pirates did a smart thing and locked him up for three of his prime years at a pretty reasonable price.


Of course critics could argue its a bad bet, that a guy who has a career year at 27 is bad news and its possible for sure, but I still think this is a move in the right direction. In years past they'd let a guy like McLouth leave or trade him because he was asking for too much in arbitration, but instead they're trying to keep talent around and I applaud them for that. Its a small step and they're taking other small steps to get it to work, so maybe in a few years they'll have a handful of talented young guys like those pesky rays did last year. Never know.


You know how I was saying about how I thought real men own up to mistakes, yeah well this douche, Bug Selig, is not one of them. Selig, the commissioner of Major League Baseball since 1992 (coincidentally around the time steroids became prevalent in the game) made some statements today basically absolving himself of all guilt for this entire era.

"I don't want to hear the commissioner turned a blind eye to this or he didn't care about it," Selig told Newsday in a Monday phone interview. "That annoys the you-know-what out of me. You bet I'm sensitive to the criticism."


Oh I'm sorry Bud, you're sensitive to criticism? Well you're the commissioner of baseball pal, you've resided over the dirtiest era in the game, a time where guys were getting bigger and bigger and you did NOTHING for YEARS. Where were you when McGwire and Sosa were crushing home runs in 98'? How about Bonds? Oh that's right you didn't say a word, and why? Because everyone was happy! The money was coming in, fans were filling the seats, teams were getting rich TV contracts, and for it you are quite well compensated 18.35 million in 2007, why rock the boat? Indeed, Bud, if you're totally free of guilt, well then what the hell are you doing to deserve 18.35 million a year? Is making sure the game stays on the up and up not part of your job description?


Now Selig says he pushed for steroid testing as early as 1995, but he was met with strong resistance from the owners, fine great, but what did you do exactly to "push" for testing? I'll bet anything he gave a cursory attempt to get testing but when he was met with resistance he stopped, and why not? You've got a good thing going Bud, why start a war over something that isn't really a big deal right?


I'm being a little ridiclous, but really, I find this attempt of Selig to claim himself as blameless to be quite distasteful. Yes he's the commissoner he's not there in the clubhouse everyday seeing whats going on and his powers are limited, but I think its pretty clear if you look back that something wasn't right. Guys were bigger than ever, records that were once thought unbreakable were being smashed left and right, guys in their late 30s were having career years, isn't that a little funny? I mean yeah athletes are bigger and faster than ever, but their are limits to what someone can do with their body without a little help from chemistry.



For all the money he makes Bud should feel some blame for this mess. He resided over this mess, and he should have been more dilligent. He's not the only one to blame, certainly the players are the ones who allowed these things to be injected in them, but it's guys like Selig who turned a blind eye and allowed for this culture to exist. I'm not saying its all his fault, but its got to be at least PARTLY your fault Bud, its your league, own up to it.


God, just look at him, I mean yeah ESPN obviously took this photo to be unflattering, but tell me this image doesn't scream "douchebag." In truth it is very easy to hate this guy, so cold, so calculated, every step seemingly orchestrated and scripted, teeming with talent and yet seemingly always falling flat on his face whenever he has the chance. Consequently, its not at all surprising to me or anyone who's familiar with Alexander Emanuel Rodriguez the kind of response he'd get when it was found out he took steroids and in truth I can't blame them. He's always made it easy to hate him, even if you're a fan of his team, and his lone gold star, that being the White Knight of Good Clean Home Run Hitting, is forever tarnished, forever clouded in doubt. And now he meets the media finally to speak about his dark past to come clean, and again he is lambasted for it, mocked and ridiculed for it, but for this I don't think he deserves it.


I'm not here to argue that he's innocent or anything like that, he did a wrong thing and he should be singled out for it and be made to answer for it, but here's the thing, he DID answer for it. Alex could've done a lot of things when this came out, deny it up and down like Palmero, Tejada and so many others did, go to congress and make this a crusade against the accusors like Clemens did, or stand trail in a grand jury and lie until he's blue in the face like Bonds did. And yet Alex did none of those things, within 48 hours he came clean he went onto ESPN and spoke with the venerable Peter Gammons and said yes, yes I did take steroids, yes I did a terrible and regrettable thing, and I want everyone to know that I did.


Again, this in itself is unprecedented. Indeed, even Giambi only gave a news conference where he said he was sorry for "something" he never said steroids never said anything like that just that he felt bad. But Alex went further, Alex said okay I'll hold a press conference with all the media present and I'll let you fire away, I'll deal with the brunt of the sports media while they dished out their worse and he spilled his guts. He told him who gave it to him, how many times he took it, how he got it, how long he took it, I mean what else did you want from him, what he was wearing when he was injected? In brief, unlike any other accused steroid user he faced his detractors he took them head on and answered, and yet we are still unsatisfied, but why?



I have heard from many that his explainations were unsatisfactory, that he couldn't have not known what he was taking, that he's hiding behind "I was young and stupid" argument, and most of all that it was disengenious that he didn't seem real. Indeed, you have to consider, if he lied before, why would he stop now? What guarantee do we have that he's not juicing right now? And in truth there is now way for "sure" I am inclined to believe the majority of what he said despite this claims when you consider the situation.


I mean think about it, think about where A-Rod is right now, his career is on the brink of ruin, the only think he had going for him is gone now, now he's a douchebag AND he's dirty. His records are forever tarnished, and his legacy is in doubt, what does he have to lose at this point? He's already been called out as a liar, as a cheat, what good is lying about any stupid detail at this point? Is saying he got it from his cousin rather than another baseball player going to resuce his legacy? Hardly. And the "young and stupid" thing? Well shit I'm 24 and I've done some pretty dumb stuff this year too, is it possible a 24 year old with 252 million dollars in the bank wouldn't do something spectacuarly stupid?


I'm sure there are many who will find my take to be unconvicing, after all, I'm a yankee fan, I'm inclined to want to give a guy on my team a break. But I think that if you sift through the bullshit, A-Rod's past, his throughly irritating demeanor, I think the facts are pretty plain. Alex did something stupid but he's trying to own up to it, he's trying to put himself out there and say look I know I screwed up, but I'm trying to make good, I'm trying to atone for it. Maybe that's not enough for most people, but in my opinon it take a real man to own up to making a colossal mistake like this, and that's more than any of these other cheaters can say.

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Yes its true, happier days are here

I'm a little late on this one, but one of my favorite days of the year have come to pass, pitchers and catchers report, everyone get happy! Okay sorry I'm getting carried away, but its hard to contain my excitement on this one, baseball is so close! As I've said before nothing really happens on this auspicious day but it signals the beginning of the thaw, football's a distant memory, the cold winter months are quickly ending as the days get longer and it isn't quite as miserable getting in my car in the morning because of the unbearable cold.


If you ever get the chance to go to a spring training game, please do so because its like nothing else you'll experience, its baseball, free of the bullshit and pretension, and in its place pure and unadulterated fun. Unlike a regular season game there's no buffer, no high fences and phalanx of security, its just some guys playing baseball. They happened to be all millionaires playing baseball, but we'll forget about that for now, this is just some guys having fun.


It's only a few days before games start and that's where the real fun begins, but for now we can be satisfied knowing that baseball is here, and with it the promise of a new season. enjoy.

Busy day for sure on the free agent front for corner outfielders, first Abreu and now the wonder that is Adam Dunn signs with the Nationals. Evidently Dunn has had this offer for some time from Washington, but he's been waiting for more lucrative offers, allegedly holding out for a hundred million, but none came in so he took the 2 year 20 million deal and it looks like a good move for both sides. In truth, compared to Abreu's 5 million for one year it looks like a steep price, but I think considering his age, only 29, and his rather impressive production at the plate I think its a steal.
As I've mentioned on this site before, your average fan will probably not love watching Adam Dunn play for their team. With the single season strikeout record in hand and a career .247 batting average he's not exactly a player who most people would consider an awesome offensive player, but he is. He walks a ton, hits 40 home runs on the dot every year for the last 6 years and he produces runs. Yeah he's a butcher in the field, but thankfully for nats fans he'll be moving to first base where he can cause less damage and only increase his value.
He's probably not worth the 100 million he was seeking but 40 home run power for only ten million a year is good value. The Nationals need his bat and patience at the plate in the worst way, and while this won't exactly make them a contender I think this will help them score more runs and consequently win a few more ball games, nicely done.


So this is the response from the mighty Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim after losing out Mark Texiera, they sign 35 year old Bobby Abreu to a one year 5 million deal, yes they should be fine. Okay I'm being unfair about Bobby, he was an excelent and very valuable part of the yankees the last two and a half years and in truth they got him at a bargin. A few months ago, it was seen as unbelievable that the Yankees didn't offer him arbitration that would have given him a cool 16 million, but instead he's taking his laudable skills to Anaheim for a 69% pay cut. Yet when you consider the offense they lost in allowing Texiera to walk and the current gaping hole at first you have to wonder if the Angels are just not going to be that good this year.


As I said earlier, the Angels are getting a great deal of value in return for their 5 million investment in Bobby. He's a guy that does many things well, hits for power, hits for average, steals bases and isn't afraid to take a walk or two. Indeed, Abreu throughout his career has done many things well as he is the only player in major-league history with 200 home runs, 300 stolen bases, a .400 on-base percentage and a .300 batting average, not even Barry Bonds or Rickey Henderson can say that. But in reality, this is not the player that the Angels are getting exactly, Bobby's days of big power numbers and even big on-base numbers seem to be something of the past, in the last two years his OBP dipping below .400 for the first two times in his career and his slugging % into the mid .400s after being a career .500 slugger his whole career. And what's more you have to figure even those modest numbers will see a drop even further as Bobby moves to much weaker lineup and hitting at a park that is not as advantageous to left handed hitters as yankee stadium was. Of course you could point to the fact that he has driven in a 100 runs every season for the last 7 years, but I consider this a bi-product of hitting in the middle of the order of good lineups (come on, he's been the yankees 3 hitter for the last years, i think its pretty hard not to drive a 100 runs in with that lineup).


Defensively, Abreu is a liability is as well. Well known for his reputation of being scared of the outfield wall, his reputation seems to jive with his fielding metrics. Bill James' fielding bible rates him as the worst right fielder in the game defensively, and now a year older I don't see him getting any better.


The other issue for the Angels is where the hell is he going to play for them. As I write the Angels already have four very well paid outfielders, torii hunter, juan rivera, gary matthews jr., and vlad (as well as a very talented reggie willits), what are they going to do with all of them? you could slot vlad at DH and bobby in right field but that still leaves left field to deal with, where are all these highly paid guys going to play? For a team that cried poverty when Texiera was demanding more years they certainly have a lot of money wasted on superfluous players.


Finally, there is the issue of the gaping hole left by Mark Texiera. Manny gets all the press for his second half surge with the dodgers but Mark was no slouch either for the angels, posting a crazy .358/.449/.632 line, i mean that's ridiclous. Now you take that out of their lineup and try to bandage it wtih a guy who didn't even slug .450 and an unproven first baseman in kendry morales you have to wonder if the Angels are going to have some problems scoring runs this year.


Now I might be viewing this move too critically. After all, everyone has their financial limits and its hard to compete with the yankees when they want someone on the free agent market. As a consequence the angels went out and got a guy who does many of the things texiera did well, hit for average and get on base, while at the fraction of the cost. Whats more is that the angels always seem to defy statistical analysis, seemingly able to stomp the competition while not having a potent lineup but instead relying on a fantastic pitching staff and speed in the field and on the bases, they just find ways to win regardless. But with a considerably weaker lineup and stalwarts like vlad a year older and garret anderson seemingly gone you have to wonder if their ability to defy convention any longer.

Monday, February 9, 2009

A-Rod Comes Clean


I'm getting kind of tired of writing about steriods, but this is really the biggest story in baseball for sometime, it warrants a great deal of press. Well it was a quick and seemingly from the heart response from A-Rod, within 48 hours of the report coming out, Alex came clean to ESPN's Peter Gammons, telling him that yes indeed he did take steroids from 2001 to 2003 while with the Texas Rangers.

After lying once already it is somewhat hard to believe anythign the man says, but I have to say he gave a convincing case. Saddled with the expectations of being the highest paid player ever while only the tender age of 25, Alex felt the pressure that came along with it. So in response he did something foolish, something he knew was illegal and wrong but he did it because he felt he needed to "prove" that he was every bit worth that 252 million dollar deal the rangers gave him. For sure, with a 13 percent increase of home runs and posting his highest career slugging percentages, it seems very plausible that

He said he has stopped since then which is of course kind of suspcious (after all wouldn't the added pressure of playing for the yankees give him all the more impetus to take steriods?) I am somewhat inclined to believe the man. I have not seen the interview in its entirety, but it seems geniune, from the heart and the words of a truly regretful man. There's a lot to not like about Alex, but I fould it hard to not feel a little bit for the guy, he fucked up and he realized this is no small error.

I hope that this takes the heat off a little bit and eventually fans and writers alike can forgive him a little bit over time. He gets enough bad press from people and as I have mentioned he's not exactly alone when it comes for the blame for this entire era in baseball, it was an epidemic that has left us very few stars who haven't been found out. Good move on A-Rod's part just coming straight out and fessing up, not that the new york tabloids will make it any easier on him.


In the wake of the announcement of A-Rod's positive test for steroids there's been a great deal said about what to do with him and other steroid users. Many say he should be blacklisted forever, tainted for all time and never allowed to join the hall of fame, along with the other offenders, but is this really realistic? Indeed, one of the facts that seem lost in the A-Rod report is that he was one of 104 players who tested positive for steroids, 104! That comes out to about 2 players per every team's active roster of 25, and that's not a number that can be dismissed. Chances are there are other players who are big stars on that list who we would be equally surprised about, and this is after players were told about the beginning of steroid testing! Who is to say that there weren't even more players who were using who stopped prior to the testing?
We may never know who is on that list, but we do know that there were many, many players taking steroids during this strange era in baseball, and who could blame them? We're talking about professional athletes, men who make their fortunes by how far they can hit a baseball or how hard they can throw it, natural born competitors who have strove to be the best their whole life, if they were given an opportunity to improve their lot and gain an edge on the field, why wouldn't they do it? Sure steroids were illegal, but they were not prohibited by baseball, and they were everywhere. Players were openly using it the locker rooms, trainers were supplying anyone who wanted them, and the owners didn't care, they just wanted results, and who could blame them?
In short it was an evironment where it is not hard to see steroid use being rampant and quite accessible for everyone. They were everywhere and players of all sorts of talent, from the marginal utility player to the best of the best, bonds, clemens, and now a-rod were all there ready and willing to do what it took to be the best. Sure there were players who didn't do it, but they too were compilict in the whole affair. Where were the players shouting in outrage of steroid use? There weren't any because it was something that everyone had more to gain from. Everyone was complicit. Everyone was guilty.
Now this tained era in baseball has since been brought to light and some of the worst offenders have been shown for what they did and the court of public opinon seeks to place all the blame of entire industry on the shoulders of a few, but is that really fair? Yes these players of guilty of using performance enhancer that gave them an unfair advantage, but so were many of the players that they were competing with. Indeed, how many juiced home runs were hit off of juiced pitchers? Do two wrongs make a right?
My point here is that baseball writers and many others want to try to sort through this mess of a time in baseball history and decide who was "clean" who was free from guilt. They want to re-write history and say that this person's accomplishments do not count because he cheated, but is that just? For sure, some of the offenders who have broken records have been revealed for their misdeeds and baseball writers want to punish them by not allowing them into the hall of fame for that, and I find this positively pure arrogance. Whether they like to admit it not, these things still happened, these players still made an impact in actual games on both sides of the field, and now they want to say that they didn't happen, that these events are not worthy of recognition because of the era in which they played in. Who are these writers to say what did or did not occur?
Cheating is as old as the game, Babe Ruth was known to use corked bats whenever he had the chance, are we to say that his achievements did not exist because some of those home runs were hit with an unfair advantage? No because for some reason writers for some reason think that corking a bat or spitting on a baseball is somehow a less egregious offense, somehow less horrible and because of this cheaters like Ruth or Gaylord Perry are in the hall of the fame.
I'm not absolving these men of guilt nor am I saying that what they did was right, but their accomplishments don't deserve to be eliminated just because they were one of the unfortunate ones to get caught. It happened, the damage has been done and should be rectified and recognized for what it was, but let's not pretend to close our eyes and say it didn't happen, it did.

Saturday, February 7, 2009

Like A-Rod needed any more bad press


Well it seems as though the one good thing everyone could say about A-Rod has just gone out the window. A-Rod's always been easy to hate, from the girlish slap play in the 04 ALCS to his seemingly perpetual choking in big spots and in the postseason, and most recently his infidelity with...Madonna? Dude she's like a hundred years old now isn't she? But you despite that you could always say he's gone his whole career without a hint of tarnish from the steroid era, the one slugger who did it clean and who would break the wretched Barry Bonds' home run record and restore order to the universe. Well it seems even that is has disappeared with the news that A-Rod was caught using sterioids in 2003 in his MVP season with the Rangers where he hit 47 home runs. Damn A-Rod can't you do anything right?


I've always defended A-Rod since he's been a Yankee, he's a douchebag for sure, but he's our douchebag, and our douchebag is arguably the best player in the game. Yes his numbers in big spots did make me cringe at times and I hated listening to the drama with him and Jeter, but it's always been about baseball, and the guy just produced. Indeed, despite his seemingly "un-clutchness" he's been an integral part of this team since he showed up in 2004 producing like no yankee since, well Mickey Mantle, and he's already got more home runs than him!


But it seems as though that now will always been tainted, that will forever been overshadowed by this startling news, that the white light of clean baseball has gone out, his home runs will never been seen without a great deal of scrutiny and doubt and its a shame. Now of course he's never tested positive while he's been a Yankee, by all accounts he's been clean since we've known him, but how can you be sure of it? Who is to say that he isn't now using some more advanced undectable method of jucing? You can never know for sure and because of that he can no longer be viewed the same way. He's one of them now, right next to Bonds and Sosa and all the rest, juicers, cheaters, theives. Indeed, what can I say anymore that redeems him? What about Alex is now admirable and honorable?


Perhaps I am making too much of this, perhaps there is an explaination to it, or perhaps this was a one-time loss of judgment on the part of Alex, but the problem remains that I can no longer say anything with certainity about him anymore. I for one am anxious to hear his reponse, but I doubt it will change anything, the damage is done, his reputation forever blackened.





Well I went and bought the game that confirms I'm totally crazy, MLB Front Office Manager, a baseball video game that you don't even get to play baseball, and I have to say I like it, but I don't love it by any means. In truth, I've been trying to avoid buying it but for forty bucks I figured it was worth a shot and I'm glad I did.


If you're expecting a lot of action and excitement this game is really not for you because its completely a niche game for people like me who love the thought of running a baseball team. As the general manager you have comprehensive control of pretty much aspect of your organization, signing players, making trades, setting rosters and most importantly scouting. I haven't gotten too far in the game so I haven't had a chance to tinker around with it too much but its clear that this is one of the highlights of the game. You must decide how to allocate funds for scouting all over the world and following prospects all the way through the ranks. In this section alone I could see many hours being spent trying to find the next big star all over the world.


The setup of the game is primarily menu-based and at times these can be confusing. The main screen has a lot going on as far as what needs to be done for the day, emails and whatnot and it can be overwhelming. I know personally it took me a long time just to figure out what the hell everything does in the game so you end up spending a lot of time just poking around trying to figure out what does what. But the most frustrating part of the game I found is how the game doesn't really tell you if you're doing something wrong. Say for instance you want to advance to the next day because you proposed a trade to another team or to advance to the next step, well sometimes it just won't go to the next day and you're just kind of stuck. They give you no clues as to why it won't advance to the next day so you end up combing over all the menus to try to figure out what the hell is going wrong. Sometimes your rosters are not filled or the pitching rotations are incomplete, but they never give you any indication why they won't let you do it.



Despite this somewhat unhelpful setup, the game is very comprehensive and engaging if this is your cup of tea. You get to do everything you ever wanted to do with your team trade this guy move that guy, but its not easy. Indeed, there are many factors you need to consider when making moves, whether that be money, no trade clauses, player morale, happiness of the owner, so if you plan on running through this game haphazardly you're not going to do very well.



Overall, I enjoyed this game and plan on playing more but it is ultimately not entirely satisfying. While I love putting thogether the team and developing talent, I do all of those things because I want to go play with that team and wipe the floor with everyone! To just put the team together and see the lineup but not be able to actually play as that team kind of sucks, but that's what you accept when you buy the game, that's why its only forty dollars instead of the standard 60 for a PS3 or XBOX 360 game. For what it is its a very well thought of game, very comprensive and engaging, but when MLB The Show comes out next month I can' t say I see myself playing it a whole lot.

Friday, February 6, 2009

The Elephant in the Room


I realize this is a year off, but this is arguably the most difficult an troubling issue the yankees will have to face for years to come, the fate of the captain, Derek Jeter and his expiring contract next year. Right now Derek is one of the highest paid players in the game, in the top 5 I believe, and its hard to argue that he's worth all those millions for what he's been giving you the last two years or so. While he did have an MVP caliber season in 2006 (he should've won in my opinion) his offense has been on the downslope, getting his average up to .300 barely this year as well as diminshed power, reduced OBP and a penchant for hitting into double plays, 24 last year alone. In addition, its hard to say that Derek's exactly gold glove worthy these days at short, routinely pegged as the worst shortstop in the game, most notably by Bill James in his fielding bible the last three years.
And yet its not exactly like you can just tell him to get lost, the guy is a freaking icon. The advertisements, the women (six in the maxim top 50 last time i checked), and most importantly the winning. Four rings, seven all star appearances, with a slew of clutch performances and big hits along the way to becoming the face of the franchise and the greatest shortstop in yankee history. What can you do with him? Can you leave him at short and allow him to be a liability and cost you runs all season long? Can you afford a riot in New York when you don't re-sign him and lose his tremendous value, both tangible and intangible, in production and dollar signs?
A great deal of ink has been spilled on this subject (I guess its a lot of typing has been done but that doesn't sound nearly as lyrical) and there are a lot of people who have a lot of opinons on the matter. Baseball prospectus suggests to move him to center field, rob neyer says just keep him there until his contract is up and let him walk, but I find neither of those solutions perticuarly satsifying, but I can't seem to come up with a solution that both is smart baseball wise while recognizing Jeter's importance to the team.
Re-signing Jeter to me seems to be a no-brainer, as a Yankee fan I shudder of the thought of seeing him somewhere else, getting his 3,000th hit in another uniform in another city instead of staying here where he belongs in pinstripes. But as anyone who knows baseball knows pitching and defense wins championships and when you have a shortstop who can't field and his hitting is slipping you have to consider other options.
On the flip side, moving Jeter to another position is tricky to say the least. A-rod and Tex have the corner positions locked up for some time and moving a guy who's been an infielder to centerfield is no sure bet, who knows how well he'll be able to adapt to playing out there, there is no way of knowing.
I think the best way of dealing with this is moving him next year, to left field. With Matsui and Damon's contracts up as well left seems to be the perfect fit for Jeter to utilize his speed and range while not being burdened with the prospect of being a centerfielder, a position that requires one to be the leader in the outfield. Its where Yogi went when Elston Howard came up and I think its a position that Jeter could be in that wouldn't hurt the Yankees tremendously while still providing them with a high OBP and batting average from a corner outfielder.
It's not the best solution by any means, and I'm not entirely sure its the one that is the best for the yankees, after all Matt Holliday is a free agent this year and he's a left fielder, but its a move that has to be made sooner rather than later. Jeter is a great player, a first ballot hall of famer and one of the few guys to have a real chance to break Rose's all time hits record. But shortstop is an extremely crucial defensive position and the Yankees cannot sacrifice that in the name of sentimentality. I just hope Cashman's been thinking about this problem too, I'm sure he can come up with something better than me.


Well it seems as though my "expert" anylsis of the case of Ben Sheets was faulty to say the least. According to recent reports Ben is going under the knife for flexor tendon surgery on his eblow, a surgery that will likely force him to miss the entire 2009 season. What's worse is Sheets was close to signing a 2 year deal with the rangers until these eblow problems surfaced and the contract was put on hold indefintely. Now he's got no job, no one to pay for his surgery and his career as a major league pitcher in doubt.
I for one feel for the guy, he's pitched on lousy teams his whole career that didn't give him the run support he needed to distinguish himself as one of the game's best (Bill James lists his 2004 season as the second worst bad luck season for a pitcher going 12-14 but with a 2.70era striking out 264 in 237 innnings) and the one year they're good and make the playoffs he's too injured to take the mound in the brew crew's first playoff series since 1982. In addition he's had a run of bad luck in injuries that has also hurt his reputation by being regarded as "injury prone." And now after all the good he's done he gets some more bad luck, getting injured in his contract year and now he's looking at the prospect of being jobless for awhile.
Of course this is a business and baseball teams are not in the business of awarding multi-year deals with guys who are down on their luck. I don't blame the rangers for withdrawing their contract offer to a guy who won't even pitch for at least half of the length of contract. Still, I hope Sheets can rebound from this set back, get healthy and return to form quickly, he's only 30 years old there's still hope, but its not looking too good for the national league all-star game starter.

This report just came in a few hours ago, but honestly who the hell needed to hear this to know Barry Bonds did steroids. According to new evidence revealed by the judge for Bonds' perjury trial Barry's urine tested positive for steroids in a 2003 test which of course seems to be pretty damning evidence in the case. To backtrack a bit Bonds testified in the now famous BALCO case that he had taken the "cream" and the "clear" but he did not know that they were performance enhancing drugs, but when asked point blank whether he had ever taken steriods his answer was a pointed no.

Obviously if the attorneys for the state know what they're doing this should help their case and help them win a case that has been going on way too long. I don't perticularly like Barry Bonds and in fact you could say I loathe him but I think the prospect of him going to jail for a very long time because he took steriods seems very silly and ridiclous. Especially when you consider that so many people have admitted to having done them it seems kind of crazy that one of those guys could spend the rest of his days in a state penitentary for it.

Then again, perhaps this is just karma coming back at Barry, many others admitted to doing it, like Giambi and Pettitte, and while they were criticized they were pretty much forgiven for their past trangressions. Guys like Bonds and Clemens who very clearly were using PEDs to break records were given a chance for penance they refused, and in fact they threw it back in disgust that they would even be accused of it. So in return these greatest of cheaters are seeing their sins paid back ten fold, forever disgraced and despised for trying to cheat the system and the game so many love. Maybe a conviction in a perjury case is a bit extreme, but Bonds deserves some sort of punishment for the mockery he made of the game and I hope he gets it.

Monday, February 2, 2009

Jeff Kent...Hall of Famer?


Hasn't been a whole lot of activity going on these last few days so I figured I would

mention a few words on Jeff Kent retiring a few weeks back. It is fair to say that Jeff Kent is one of those guys that people have strong opinons about, he's a polarizng guy that makes no bones that he doesn't take shit from anyone. For some, this attidude is laudable and praiseworthy, a relic of a bygone era when baseball players weren't pampered celebrities but a bunch of hard nosed toughs who gave everything had to the game. For others, he's a despicable racist bastard, a hard-assed loner who has been trouble everywhere he went. Yet as polarizing he is as a person it is hard to argue with his numbers and unbelievable production he had as a second baseman.
His 351 home runs as a second baseman are 74 more than Ryne Sandberg hit at the position, and he ranks second all-time in RBIs among second basemen to Nap Lajoie. There are 12 players in the Hall of Fame who have amassed 375 homers, 500 doubles and 1,500 RBIs. Andre Dawson, who logged 67 percent of the Hall of Fame vote this year, also is moving closer to Cooperstown.
Jeff Kent retires with 377 homers, 560 doubles and 1,518 RBIs. In addition he also won an MVP in 2000 with the Giants, as well as a nine time all-star.
Whats even more remarkable is how unremarkable he was until he was 29, never hitting more than 21 home runs, never driving in more than 80 with a batting average in the .270s. He only turned his career around when arriving in san francisco where he was undoubtedly aided by having barry bonds in the lineup, but nevertheless he flat out produced. Driving in at least 93 for the next nine seasons, Kent truly blossomed as a 30 something and emerged as a serious hall of fame candidate.
And yet suprisingly there has been zero evidence that he used steriods, and in fact he has been very vocal in his displeasure for its widespread use in the past years, something that probably hasn't helped in the popularity department.
I think it may take a a year or so to get him in, but I don't see how Kent doesn't end up in Cooperstown as one of the all-time great second baseman to ever play the game. He won't win any competitions for best teammate, but I doubt he'd care too much.